The poll of 500 Likely Voters in Alaska was conducted on October 13th, 2010. As they did in their September 19th poll, Rasmussen asked respondents about a choice between Miller and McAdams without mentioning Murkowski, because this is the pre-printed choice voters will see when they enter the voting booth. However, when response options were offered to survey respondents, Murkowski’s name was mentioned. So even if the numbers themselves are questionable, the trend is valid because they used the same methodology both times. As for the numbers:
-- Joe Miller (R): 35 percent
-- Lisa Murkowski (RINO): 34 percent
-- Scott McAdams (D): 27 percent
-- Not Sure: 3 percent
-- Some Other Candidate: 1 percent
Compare this to their September 19th poll, which showed Miller with 42 percent, Murkowski with 27 percent, and McAdams with 25 percent. It appears the greatest voter migration is from Miller to Murkowski; only slow improvement is shown for McAdams.
Since the poll was taken on the same day as Jim Whitaker publicly accused Joe Miller of misusing office computers while employed as a Fairbanks Borough attorney, it is unlikely that this information affected individual response. It is also unlikely that allegations that Lisa Murkowski previously used cocaine, NOW DEBUNKED, were also considered by respondents.
Only paid Platinum Members can view Rasmussen's crosstabs and toplines. However, Poll Watch evidently has access to this information, and they disclose that 53 percent see Murkowski favorably compared to 46 percent who do not. By contrast, 49 percent see Miller unfavorably while 39 percent see him favorably, with 3 percent not sure. Perhaps more significantly, 45 percent say they see him "very" unfavorably, one of the highest such figures in this category they've ever seen in any Rasmussen poll.
Other polls taken since the primary election ended include Craciun, Ivan Moore, and CNN/Time, all discussed HERE. A more recent poll by Public Policy Polling, is discussed HERE; its numbers are quite similar to Rasmussen.