Friday, February 06, 2009

Lake Research Partners Poll Shows Dan Sullivan Narrowly Leading Eric Croft In 2009 Anchorage, Alaska Mayoral Race


Andrew Halcro was first off the mark on this info. A Lake Research Partners poll of 500 likely Anchorage voters shows that the two biggest names in Anchorage's 2009 mayoral race have the greatest name recognition. And it shows that conservative Dan Sullivan (pictured at left) has slightly forged ahead of left-of-center Eric Croft. Alaska Report also picked up on this story, and referred to a press release from Eric Croft that has not been posted on his official campaign website.

Here are the numbers:

-- Dan Sullivan: 21 percent
-- Eric Croft: 18 percent
-- Another Candidate: 33 percent
-- Undecided: 28 percent

The poll did not provide a breakout of the other candidates, although no other candidate received more than 13 percent. The latter number implies the potential of more than just a two-person race. The interesting question is where would Eric Croft be at this point if two other lefties, Matt Claman and Sheila Selkregg, weren't in the race. I sense an effort by progressives to try to coalesce around Croft. In contrast, Sullivan has most of his core constituency to himself, although Paul Honeman and, to a lesser degree Walt Monegan could make inroads. Honeman has already been running an aggressive advertising campaign; I see his ads appended as the leaders to nearly every KTUU news video lately.

Because the Croft campaign retained Lake Research Partners as the official campaign pollster, we can assume that Eric Croft commissioned the poll.

The candidate filing period is in effect until Friday February 13th at 5:00 P.M. Visit the Municipality's Election Page, which has a partial list of candidates, for more information. Here's the full list of mayoral candidates, with links to websites where available:

-- Dan Sullivan: December 2007 press release outlining his vision HERE.
-- Eric Croft: Official campaign website HERE. Myspace website HERE.
-- Paul Honeman: Official campaign website HERE. Myspace website HERE.
-- Walt Monegan: Official campaign website HERE.
-- Sheila Selkregg: Official campaign website HERE.
-- Merica Hlatcu - ran unsuccessfully for the Republican gubernatorial nomination in 2006
-- Jacob Seth Kern - Official campaign website HERE.
-- Dominic S.F. Lee - President and CEO of Little Susitna Construction
-- Melanie K. Leydon
-- Larry Shooshanian
-- Phil Isley

The Anchorage Press published an article on December 11th providing more background on some candidates.

APOC summaries on municipal candidates available HERE.

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