Wednesday, October 29, 2008

First Post-Conviction Poll: Rasmussen Poll Shows Mark Begich Opening Up An 8-Point Lead Over Alaska U.S. Senator Ted Stevens

The first major-league poll taken after the conviction of Alaska U.S. Senator Ted Stevens is in, and Rasmussen Reports shows the expected: Democratic challenger Mark Begich has opened up an eight-point lead over Stevens. The full Rasmussen report can be viewed HERE. Additional story on the Anchorage Daily News' Alaska Politics blog.

Here are the numbers:

- Mark Begich (D): 52 percent
- Ted Stevens (R): 44 percent
- Bob Bird (AIP): 3 percent
- Undecided: 2 percent

The last Rasmussen poll on October 6th, just before the trial, showed the Senate race to be a toss-up.

In addition, 52 percent of Alaska voters say Stevens should resign while 39 percent disagree. Here are some other comparable local polls. In an unscientific poll conducted by KTUU Channel 2 on October 27th, 70 percent of respondents agreed that the jury was correct in finding Sen. Ted Stevens guilty. But the conservative Voice Of The Times, which is scheduled to go "dark" on October 31st, finds that in response to the question "Will you vote to re-elect Stevens despite his conviction", 80 percent said Yes.

The last time Senator Stevens took a dive in the polls was on July 30th, shortly after his indictment. At that time, he fell 13 points behind Mark Begich, and it took over a month to fight his way back to rough parity.

The November 4th election is only six days away from today. Ted Stevens is done.

But Ted Stevens is not quitting. The Fairbanks Daily News-Miner is reporting that Stevens' attorney is requesting an investigation of misconduct by federal prosecutors. Brendan Sullivan asked U.S. Attorney General Michael Mukasey to investigate “numerous, serious constitutional violations” by the government prosecutors, including knowingly presenting false evidence to the jury. The 16-page brief can be viewed HERE in PDF format. Here are the four specifications:

(1). The prosecution's knowing presentation of false evidence to the jury.

(2). The prosecution's intentional concealment of additional critical exculpatory information in violation of the Due Process Clause of the U.S. Constitution.

(3). The prosecution's use of fabricated testimony by its star cooperating witness, Bill Allen, even though the prosecution must have known the testimony was false.

(4). The prosecution's use of coercive promises and extravagant financial incentives to Mr. Allen in order to induce this "substantial assistance".

And Ted Stevens continues to campaign hard. He's holding a rally at the airport which bears his name tonight around 5 P.M. Give Uncle Ted credit - he's going down swinging rather than standing there with the bat on his shoulder.

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