Wednesday, September 03, 2008

New Ivan Moore Poll Shows Sarah Palin With An 81.6 Percent Alaskan Approval Rating, But Mark Begich Only Leads Ted Stevens By 3.3 Points

On September 3rd, 2008, the Anchorage Press published the results of a new Ivan Moore poll taken from August 30th through September 2nd. Here are the most interesting results.

(1). Sarah Palin's approval rating has bumped up to 81.6 percent. This shows that the Troopergate scandal is still not taken too seriously by most Alaskans. In addition, the selection of Palin as John McCain's running mate has psychologically intoxicated many Alaskans to the point that many have become temporarily blinded to her "faults". At this point, many more Alaskans are thinking like Wev Shea rather than Andrew Halcro. In a spin-off poll, 65.2 percent of respondents said that Sarah Palin's presence on the ticket would help John McCain.

(2). In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Mark Begich's lead over Republican incumbent Ted Stevens has shrunk dramatically from 17 points to only 3.3 points in just three weeks. The Feds have pursued Ted Stevens so robustly that many Alaskans believe the Feds have an axe to grind against Stevens and are starting to circle the wagons around him. Many Alaskans are now shrinking back from the precipice of dumping both incumbents in the same election cycle, and have decided that Ted Stevens may be the one incumbent worth saving. This is a race where a third party candidate could easily decide the election; Alaska Independence Party candidate Bob Bird corraled 2.3 percent. Bird is more likely to take votes from Stevens than from Begich.

(3). In the U.S. House race, Democrat Ethan Berkowitz has widened his lead over incumbent Republican Don Young from 11 points to 17.1 percentage points. This is alarming; although Young came back from a similar deficit to overhaul Sean Parnell, that was just as attributable to Parnell's campaigning deficiencies than it was to Young's strengths. Ethan Berkowitz will not exhibit the same campaigning deficiencies. Consequently, Don Young has a lot to do to become competitive against Ethan Berkowitz.

You might also be interested in another Anchorage Press article about Sarah Palin, entitled "The Wasilla Years", which chronicles her challenges and activities as mayor of Wasilla.

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